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Apple gains share as China’s smartphone market shrinks

Apple’s share of China’s smartphone shipments rose in Q3 2026, despite falling iPhone shipments and a much steeper market-wide decline.

IDC chart showing worldwide smartphone shipment forecasts and annual growth rates from 2024 to 2030

Apple increased its share of China’s smartphone shipments in the third quarter of 2026 even as the wider market contracted sharply, according to preliminary figures from IDC reported by 9to5Mac.1

Apple gains share in a shrinking market

IDC says overall smartphone shipments in China fell 15.4% year over year in Q3. Apple’s own shipments also declined, dropping 4.3% year over year and 15.1% from the previous quarter, but its share still rose to 17.8%, up from 15.8% in the same quarter last year.1

That is a relative gain rather than a sales increase. Apple shipped fewer iPhones, but the market fell faster around it. Huawei was the quarter’s standout performer among the major brands, with shipments up 17.3% year over year and market share rising to 21.1%, according to the figures reported from IDC.1

Why the market is under pressure

IDC attributes the downturn to rising component costs and higher retail prices. The research firm expects component costs to remain elevated for several quarters, potentially stretching replacement cycles as shoppers adapt to more expensive phones.1

The broader pressure is not limited to Apple or Huawei. 9to5Mac’s report says Lenovo was the only other brand in China’s top 10 to record year-over-year shipment growth, while several large manufacturers faced double-digit declines. Samsung recorded a large quarter-over-quarter increase, although that comparison starts from a much smaller base in China.1

IDC’s wider smartphone-market outlook also shows a difficult year ahead. Its official forecast charts a 16.7% decline in worldwide shipments for 2026, followed by a further fall in 2027 before a projected return to growth in 2028.2

What it means for shoppers

The figures suggest that premium brands may be better placed to absorb component inflation, but they do not make phones cheaper. A shrinking market alongside rising costs points towards longer upgrade cycles and more pressure on manufacturers to justify high-end pricing.

For Apple, China remains a complicated success story: its share is improving, but the company is still selling fewer iPhones than a year ago. Huawei’s stronger domestic performance shows that local competition remains a serious force, especially when buyers are weighing price, availability and ecosystem loyalty.

Our opinion

Apple’s rising share is worth noting, but calling this a clean win would miss the important detail. The company gained position because the market around it fell faster, while Huawei managed genuine year-over-year shipment growth. The clearest message from these numbers is not that premium phones are immune to the downturn; it is that the brands with the strongest supply, software and domestic positioning are best placed to endure it.